tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post799584783210020690..comments2024-02-29T04:24:14.076-07:00Comments on Albertarocks' TA Discussions: Hindenburg Omen Fires off 3rd Volley in 4 DaysAlbertarockshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comBlogger40125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-86185595793285005442015-01-06T15:19:12.452-07:002015-01-06T15:19:12.452-07:00Why should my son work in Ontario? http://www.sun...Why should my son work in Ontario? http://www.sunnewsnetwork.ca/sunnews/straighttalk/archives/2015/01/20150106-070913.html<br /><br />"People and companies looking to build their - and our - future, might look more favourably on Alberta, Saskatchewan or Texas."dchrist81noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-8875020764231076392014-11-27T23:11:27.860-07:002014-11-27T23:11:27.860-07:00moncler, links of fsdgfdfb london uk, moncler, mon...<a href="http://www.doudoune--moncler.fr/" 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Omens!SoulJesterhttp://redlinescenario.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-22359111177317297732013-08-15T11:20:21.608-06:002013-08-15T11:20:21.608-06:00Gold up...stocks down.How low can we go?Gold up...stocks down.How low can we go?learnedmylessonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-38616841521636407862013-08-15T09:57:39.286-06:002013-08-15T09:57:39.286-06:00Probably no HO today with only 14 new highs at 11:...Probably no HO today with only 14 new highs at 11:55AM EST. However, it is interesting to note how the new lows (368) have continued to expand even as the volume let up in the markets and this little mid day retrace rally. Has the shades of 1987.Fed Up With The Fednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-91046026654463858222013-08-14T20:49:03.891-06:002013-08-14T20:49:03.891-06:00"Interesting how new lows and new highs both ..."<i>Interesting how new lows and new highs both expanded during the rest of the session.</i>"<br /><br /><br />What I found interesting too was while that was happening, the new lows increased at twice the rate new highs did. On every HO signal day that happened.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-74751014883127754662013-08-14T20:04:53.665-06:002013-08-14T20:04:53.665-06:00Noun, Of prophetic significance.Noun, Of prophetic significance.SoulJesterhttp://redlinescenario.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-21624212164178500592013-08-14T12:36:29.237-06:002013-08-14T12:36:29.237-06:00That's the source I was using as well-Ooops-It...That's the source I was using as well-Ooops-It should have read 187 new lows and 85 new highs-sorry 'bout that-Interesting how new lows and new highs both expanded during the rest of the session.Fed Up With The Fednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-38864496437758179972013-08-14T11:42:25.720-06:002013-08-14T11:42:25.720-06:00yeah, I tweeted at 11:00 that it had already gone ...yeah, I tweeted at 11:00 that it had already gone off today. Haven't mentioned it here yet... until now. I'll add it to the list of HO dates up in the post as well.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-47368772616809003352013-08-14T10:17:52.973-06:002013-08-14T10:17:52.973-06:00Looks like we well en route for #6 today, but clos...Looks like we well en route for #6 today, but close-85 new lows-187 new highs.Fed Up With The Fednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-39147309642723332172013-08-13T22:50:34.838-06:002013-08-13T22:50:34.838-06:00Thanks for the very informed response AR. I agree ...Thanks for the very informed response AR. I agree that the psychology behind the HO makes a lot more sense in the topping process vs. the bottom. I will take a look at the Zweig breadth thrust indicator. Definitely seems like it is more suited to the job. I also appreciate your continued updates on the HO despite your respite from the markets. Best of luck to you on your new endeavors.long_az_bullnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-53980481341237310572013-08-13T19:15:58.608-06:002013-08-13T19:15:58.608-06:00Thanks for that link... I hadn't seen that one...Thanks for that link... I hadn't seen that one. Although the author Dr. Robert McHugh I'm very familiar with. We've had a few email exchanges in fact and he's a good guy. He has done more research on HO events than anybody I know, although to this day he's still using the old rules of 3 years ago. So he has made declarations in the past year of HO events when in fact it hadn't gone off at all. Nevertheless, he still is the best resource I know of. Thanks again.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-63700691064735877272013-08-13T18:33:10.122-06:002013-08-13T18:33:10.122-06:00Hi LAB. Yes, I was asked that question about two ...Hi LAB. Yes, I was asked that question about two years ago on Seeking Alpha and we went into considerable discussion about it. My argument was that I doubted an "inverse HO" or whatever we'd want to call it would work because the market dynamics always favor "upside" action. In other words, there are forces at play in the form of "bankers" and "hedge funds" who have a vested interest in doing all they can to be applying constant upside pressure on markets.<br /><br /><br />In other words, when a normal healthy market is cruising along with organic gains being achieved through the process of true growth in the economy, we wouldn't find any bankers or any hedge funds doing anything other than jawboning the markets ever higher and applying their incredible leverage tools to ensure that it did climb higher. But on the flip side of that coin, we "never" see bankers or hedge funds applying pressure for 4 or 5 years in a row to impart "downside" to the markets. Therefore, market tops are more of a "process" than an "event", a process that even the strongest bankers and hedge funds are finally unable to prevent.<br /><br /><br />Market bottoms on the other hand are an entirely, entirely different animal. Market bottoms finally happen not only within a week, or within a single day, they usually end with some sort of tremendous spike downward in a single one hour time period and suddenly... that's it. A major long term bottom is in and from that point forward every weapon in the arsenal is launched by those same bankers and hedge funds to impart "upside pressure" and off she goes, never to return to those lows again (perhaps for decades... or maybe "ever").<br /><br /><br />So I do not believe that the same dynamics would apply at a bottom as they do at a top. Sure, we could simple reverse all the HO rules and try to apply them to market bottoms, but I don't think the rules would work at all... particularly the requirement of a minimum of 2.8% of stocks making new 52 week lows and the same number (at least) making new highs.<br /><br /><br />I admit though, I have never done any back-testing on the topic. Probably because I have so much conviction that it wouldn't work well that I'd probably never set aside the time to do it. But the next best thing would probably be something like Marty Zweig's breadth thrust indicator. It doesn't work at all like the HO but what it 'does' do is identify an swing in the market breadth of absolutely enormous size... within a very short period of time. I honestly think that indicators is plenty good enough.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-39029046047384645152013-08-13T16:45:11.894-06:002013-08-13T16:45:11.894-06:00Hi AR. Been following you for a long time from PL&...Hi AR. Been following you for a long time from PL's site. I was just wondering if you--or any one else on here interested in the HO--has ever looked at using an inverse of the HO for sniffing out bottoms. I don't have the charting tools needed, but would think that only a couple tweaks to the HO parameters would be needed to generate said signal. For instance, require that the NYSE be below (rather than above) the 50 day MA, more new highs than new lows, etc. It would be interesting to back-test this and see how well it would have predicted major market bottoms. Will also be very useful if/when we do get a major correction. Thanks.long_az_bullnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-54415138909311842772013-08-13T16:07:50.397-06:002013-08-13T16:07:50.397-06:00HO frequency ( number of signals in cluster histor...HO frequency ( number of signals in cluster historical )<br /><br /><br /><br />http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article5334.htmleast europe gaynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-70452877678518971082013-08-13T15:52:32.190-06:002013-08-13T15:52:32.190-06:00hmm, 5 of 7...pretty interesting, and somewhat sug...hmm, 5 of 7...pretty interesting, and somewhat suggestive that the 1709 high will be tough to break.<br /><br /><br />Another 1 or 2..before the week is out..and that should set up the second half of August !Permabear Doomsterhttp://permabeardoomster.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-64067160191760516442013-08-13T15:09:44.099-06:002013-08-13T15:09:44.099-06:00Thanks David... that's a great charts. And ju...Thanks David... that's a great charts. And just for the record, the HO 'did' issue another signal today, the 5th in the past 7 trading sessions.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-60817079651409205712013-08-13T15:07:57.881-06:002013-08-13T15:07:57.881-06:00Those who are making that argument are not aware o...Those who are making that argument are not aware of the rule changes that the developer of the HO put into place about 3 years ago. He increased the required minimum number of new highs and lows in order to make it harder for the HO to go off. And he did it for the exact reasons you mentioned. So in effect, by increasing the number of highs and lows from 2.2% to "2.8% of issues that 'were not unchanged'", he make the HO exactly 27.27% more difficult to go off.<br /><br /><br />Some may argue "well, that's not enough". And of course that topic could be debated until year 2325.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-6566359208039675182013-08-13T15:04:23.856-06:002013-08-13T15:04:23.856-06:00Yes sir. Another signal today, and as you correct...Yes sir. Another signal today, and as you correctly pointed out... the fifth in the last seven sessions.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-45210693148198099102013-08-13T13:10:46.624-06:002013-08-13T13:10:46.624-06:00I ve heard that as well.It may sound simplistic bu...I ve heard that as well.It may sound simplistic but the market will decide if this will be ignored or not.The more people try to downplay it...the more feaseable it becomes.Its possible QE overcomes all.If they don t taper(announcement on Aug 29th)all crash indicators get delayed again.learnedmylessonnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-61765137332793862672013-08-13T11:26:36.096-06:002013-08-13T11:26:36.096-06:00Some are arguing that the new lows are not a fair ...Some are arguing that the new lows are not a fair representation because it consists of many bond etf funds munis-etc that are hitting 52 week lows. Even if that is the case, it still isn't a good thing for equity markets that interest rates continue to spiral higher.Fed Up With The Fednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-30592506205520860262013-08-13T10:09:25.936-06:002013-08-13T10:09:25.936-06:0098 New Highs-138 New Lows-#5 Hindie today? That w...98 New Highs-138 New Lows-#5 Hindie today? That will be 5 over 7 trading sessions.Fed Up With The Fednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-14911216756647564002013-08-12T13:16:10.792-06:002013-08-12T13:16:10.792-06:00on the recent cluster of Hindenburg Omen (HO) Sign...on the recent cluster of Hindenburg Omen (HO) Signals http://www.amateur-investor.net/AII_Weekend_AnalysisAug_10_13.htmdchrist81noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-36595248766287993292013-08-11T01:07:32.981-06:002013-08-11T01:07:32.981-06:00Thanks AR, I completely understand. It's hairy...Thanks AR, I completely understand. It's hairy out there. Just s/t trading for me with very limited risk exposure. Appreciate you keeping us informed. Cheers, MarsMarsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-45698142527476210642013-08-10T20:11:30.306-06:002013-08-10T20:11:30.306-06:00It s a shame if it happens that way.Governments us...It s a shame if it happens that way.Governments usually grow enough fingers to plug all the holes in the dikes(so far).I m thinking the warning shots of a big decline will get louder and more pronounced over the next 6 months.The first indicator of tapering is supposed to be announced on Aug 29th,I believe.The Fed will announce their bond purchases for September.Maybe we sell into that--or after.That seems to be the catalyst.Everytime QE ended,we had a substantial correction.learnedmylessonnoreply@blogger.com