tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post7742383812374175886..comments2024-02-29T04:24:14.076-07:00Comments on Albertarocks' TA Discussions: Where Friends Gather - Jan. 12th, 2012Albertarockshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comBlogger75125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-89346454961726823132012-02-01T13:48:32.899-07:002012-02-01T13:48:32.899-07:00Haha. Thanks for thinking of me Jay Dub. Did he ...Haha. Thanks for thinking of me Jay Dub. Did he say where it can be purchased? I care not about the cost.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-87214882690673594542012-02-01T13:10:55.272-07:002012-02-01T13:10:55.272-07:00Have to share this one, AR. It's just to good ...Have to share this one, AR. It's just to good to be left unseen, especially by you! LOL!<br />Credit goes to OwnTheHouse for posting this one over at Daneric's.JWTrendXplorerhttp://www.trendxplorer.info/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-31495463336482951202012-01-27T00:41:57.878-07:002012-01-27T00:41:57.878-07:00Thanks Greg for noticing the count thing. But if ...Thanks Greg for noticing the count thing. But if I'm not mistaken, Danno's count is one degree smaller than the one I <i>think</i> you're referring to. Did you mean <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p97389090000&a=253773446" rel="nofollow"> <b>this one</b></a> from the <a href="http://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/2012/01/but-what-if.html" rel="nofollow"><b> But What If?</b></a> piece?<br /><br />If so, I'm still focusing on the level of 1267.06. If it doesn't get taken out then I fear we may have to endure another leg higher. And if that happens, then all of a sudden we're looking at a pretty darned clear 5 wave impulse off the October lows. Oh the agony.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-47737814325804518252012-01-26T20:31:48.526-07:002012-01-26T20:31:48.526-07:00P.S. It sure was nice over there to have a day wi...P.S. It sure was nice over there to have a day without half of the posts being insults.<br />Glad you helped get Mr. MW banned. Whew ... makes me realize how destructive and negative it is, and what a nice place you have over here. Thanks again!<br />GregGregInBaltimorenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-90608374441531411092012-01-26T20:29:55.724-07:002012-01-26T20:29:55.724-07:00Hey Albertarocks,
Danno's count now matches yo...Hey Albertarocks,<br />Danno's count now matches your count! Nice counting!<br />Need the rest of iv, then v, and then whammo, Minor 3 has arrived.<br />We better get ready to party.<br />DarkestKnight's AUDUSD latest count is also in need of the rest of iv, and a final v push up ... before Minor 3 begins.<br />The dollar needs one more push down before 3 of 3 can begin.<br />Everything is getting lined up.<br />Cheers,<br />GregGregInBaltimorenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-77480239627322931112012-01-25T13:12:25.374-07:002012-01-25T13:12:25.374-07:00I've read all your responses below this one.
...I've read all your responses below this one.<br /><br />Yes of course I released it from the spam bin immediately upon finding <br />it there. So that's what's been going on! Thanks a million for the <br />feedback. <br /><br />On the other site, this would be the same reason. We have <br />been suspecting that it was trolls doing it, and back in the day when <br />Danno allowed "flagging" that was possibly the case. But now that he's <br />disabled it, we know for sure that it's Disqus itself. If Danno were <br />able to check his spam bin more often the issues on his site could be <br />solved much quicker. I wouldn't have had to wait darned near a full weekend <br />as has happened in the past. In defense of Danno, he works just like I do <br />so he's not always there to take care of it. So please don't be <br />offended when it happens, just know 'why' it happens. Of course, I <br />would correct it immediately when I see this problem in the future and <br />I'll be checking the spam bin very often just in case. So I don't think it's going to end up being a very big deal here since I should be able to correct these events pretty quickly. Thanks for your patience and for helping me zero in on what the problem is.<br /><br />I'll see if I can delete your double posts now, just for the learning experience if nothing else.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-8153579718453760532012-01-25T12:35:10.081-07:002012-01-25T12:35:10.081-07:00The last comment was wrong!
It hadnt disappeared.
...The last comment was wrong!<br />It hadnt disappeared.<br />I thought it had<br />cause it was above my bear market comment<br />and I no longer saw it there.<br /><br />What actually happened<br />is the bear market comment <br />appeared again, for the second time<br />and now two seem to exist!<br />Each with a new comment about posting<br />above.<br /><br /> [<i> Now when I click post<br />to post this comment<br />I first get a message "wait" <br />then it does not post ?</i> ]BrightFirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-86975724605459232782012-01-25T12:21:10.589-07:002012-01-25T12:21:10.589-07:00RePost [My comment was up
but when I refreshed it ...RePost [My comment was up<br />but when I refreshed it disappeared]:<br /><br />I posted the same comment yesterday evening.<br />It went right up.<br />Then<br /> I edited it and got a message<br />it needed to be approved.<br /><br />I put<br /> it up again today<br />and it seemed to go right up.<br />But when I <br />refreshed the page<br />it was gone.<br /><br />Just now I refreshed again<br />and<br /> it was there ?<br />Perhaps you released it from spam?BrightFirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-47747213783009200152012-01-25T12:18:20.530-07:002012-01-25T12:18:20.530-07:00I posted the same comment yesterday evening.
It w...I posted the same comment yesterday evening.<br />It went right up.<br />Then I edited it and got a message<br />it needed to be approved.<br /><br />I put it up again today<br />and it seemed to go right up.<br />But when I refreshed the page<br />it was gone.<br /><br />Just now I refreshed again<br />and it was there ?<br />Perhaps you released it from spam?BrightFirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-66214224016746755702012-01-25T11:21:57.386-07:002012-01-25T11:21:57.386-07:00All pretty good reasons. The one that makes to mo...All pretty good reasons. The one that makes to most sense to me is the fact that according to others who are in the know, the world has reached the point where the world is literally saturated with debt. Nobody can afford any more debt. The only bonds that are being sold these days are to replace those that are expiring. They're just rolling the debt over, but there's no new money being created out of new debt. I doesn't matter if new debt is being lent out at .0005%, it's still being issued simply to roll existing debt over. No new money creation is happening. Not to mention that rates are surging in Europe at a time when they couldn't even afford to pay their debts when rates were lower. As far as I'm concerned, the writing is on the wall. And yet, the weekly charts right now look flat out bullish. It's frustrating.<br /><br />By the way, please tell me what happened when you submitted your comment. It doesn't have to pass through a moderator or anything like that so it should have just popped up been published immediately. Is that what happened? I don't think so because I found it in the spam bin and of course I didn't put it there. The same thing happened when TomMillard posted an innocent comment with one link. It's Disqus' own spam filter that's doing this. If I'm here, and if I catch in a timely manner, all comments should pop up immediately. It's a piss off to be honest.<br /><br />So please tell me... what happened on your end when you hit the "post comment" button?Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-83370565398752676782012-01-25T10:10:06.314-07:002012-01-25T10:10:06.314-07:00Alberta,
from your 'THE DEMISE OF KHRYSOS'...Alberta, <br />from your 'THE DEMISE OF KHRYSOS' article<br />"BUT, if we're currently in a bear market,".<br /><br />It appears to me,<br /> we are now in a bear market.<br />A few of many reasons, below.<br /><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=233" rel="nofollow"><br />17 Yr Cycl in Bear Mode 1<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=234" rel="nofollow"><br />17 Yr Cycl in Bear Mode 2<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=235" rel="nofollow"><br />Chnl Bottom from 1982 pierced. 1<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=236" rel="nofollow"><br />Chnl Bottom from 1982 pierced. 2<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=237" rel="nofollow"><br />Possible cycls Down into 2012 1<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=238" rel="nofollow"><br />Possible cycls Down into 2012 2<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=239" rel="nofollow"><br />Quarterly %D %K chrt indicates bear. 1<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=241" rel="nofollow"><br />Quarterly IWM %D %K crosses. 2<br /><br></a><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=242" rel="nofollow"><br />Analogs of some mega bear mkts.<br /><br></a>BrightFirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-78899857004518934652012-01-25T08:29:31.664-07:002012-01-25T08:29:31.664-07:00Zim maybe I'm just talking out of my ass and s...Zim maybe I'm just talking out of my ass and splitting philosophical hairs. I guess the point is these relationships exist and that's all there is to it. Again great interesting work. Hope to see more of it.<br /><br />I've heard of the Constance Brown book. Just downloaded it so I need to dig into it. I like to think I'm a music lover (although my wife says I can't sing a lick). However, I'm a bit slow when it comes to music theory, so I need extra time to wrap my brain around the concepts of intervals.<br /><br />Is this what you mean by silver related intervals? <br /><br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal_temperament<br /><br />The ratio between these intervals is square root of 2.<br /><br />The image is from the end of chapter 11 in <a href="http://www.4shared.com/office/SnFxxwYK/E_-_The_Story_of_a_Number.html" rel="nofollow">E - The Story of a Number</a>Greenfacenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-75139005749072667512012-01-24T20:47:11.379-07:002012-01-24T20:47:11.379-07:00Thank you for the links...I'll have to take so...Thank you for the links...I'll have to take some time to digest them.<br /><br />I started going off on tangents when responding & eventually got to <a href="www.scipress.org/journals/forma/pdf/1904/19040355.pdf" rel="nofollow">this</a>...don't understand it yet, but it looks like it could be a formal way of filling in the gaps of my scattered Appendix B.<br /><br />In December, I hadn't yet finished reading Constance Brown's "Fibonacci Analysis," but the final chapter seems to have some relevant quotations.<br /><br />"Harmonic proportion is the mathematical ratio of musical intervals." (146)<br />"Harmonic intervals form between Fibonacci confluence zones, but not all Fibonacci confluence zones are connected by harmonic intervals or related to one another sequentially. We have only touched upon the study of harmonics within our markets and conceptually opened the door to a fascinating field." (158)<br /><br />I wonder if these "unrelated" Fibonacci confluence zones might not be related by harmonic (silver ratio based) intervals, but some other silver-mean-related interval instead.<br /><br />> Fibonacci natural Pell interpretation<br /><br />I've been thinking about this since you mentioned it at Binve's site. I agree with you to the extent that more examples of Fibonacci relationships have been found in the natural world to date, but I'm not sure I'm ready to render this as a final verdict.<br /><br />As Brown points out, there is a harmonic basis to musical intervals. I think there are applications in optics as well. The sine RMS you pointed out is another great example, but maybe that gets us into a semantic/metaphysical debate over how we define "natural" versus "interpreted."<br /><br />Thanks for all your ideas--please do keep 'em coming as you see fit. In the event it'd be easier than typing into a disqus box, the silver ratio paper has an email address in it.<br /><br />I'm not sure there is such a thing as too many pints of Guiness--my uncertainty is not for a lack of experimental trials to try to find out though!Zimnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-46345183346981020562012-01-24T19:09:34.985-07:002012-01-24T19:09:34.985-07:00Alberta,
from your 'THE DEMISE OF KHRYSOS'...Alberta, <br />from your 'THE DEMISE OF KHRYSOS' article<br />"BUT, if we're currently in a bear market,".<br />I believe we are now <br />in a bear market.<br />A few of many reasons, below.<br /><br /><a href="http://britefire.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=233" rel="nofollow"><br />17 Yr Cycl in Bear Mode 1<br /><br><br /></a>BrightFirenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-6838882530818492202012-01-24T11:06:57.576-07:002012-01-24T11:06:57.576-07:00Not sloppy at all Zim. The silver ratio turn out t...Not sloppy at all Zim. The silver ratio turn out to be an excellent analogue of natural growth. See this link:<br />http://www.hostsrv.com/webmaa/app1/MSP/webm1010/flowers<br /><br />.618 yields the perfect distribution of seeds<br />.707 is the next best array<br /><br />I utilize the .707 and 1.414 ratios a lot in price retracements and extensions, so that's why I was pretty excited about your time study and how you pointed out the relationship between Pell & Fibonacci.<br /><br />It still bugs me that while Fibonacci has a foundation in the natural world, the Pell sequence seems be inhabit mostly our interpretation of the world. Lots of cool links to geometry with some possible ancillary connections, but nothing like the sacred geometry of the golden mean.<br /><br /> Like for example, sinusoidal movement is known to occur in ocean waves, sound waves, and mechanical energy. The square root of 2 is the <a href="http://www.iu.edu/~emusic/acoustics/amplitude.htm" rel="nofollow">root mean square</a> of a sine wave peak-to peak value of –1 to 1. This is perhaps related to standard deviation of price movements. so if, as Gann said, price squares with time, than maybe a time relationship with its derivatives emerges. <br /><br />Just a thought. Speaking of Gann, your work reminded me of someone else I've been following who trades using time series<br /><br />http://synchronicitycode.com/?page_id=55<br /><br />He's got a great easy to use spreadsheet on his website for it. Cool book too FWIW. Synchronicity is the idea that complex self organizing systems (like possibly the markets) will exhibit correlations, clustering, and coherent connections. His theory is these connections are bound by a pervasive force that can be mapped using fibonacci and other mathematical ratios. It sounds like a lot of bullocks when I explain it, but the book is pretty convincing and so is the spreadsheet.<br /><br />Anyway, sometimes after a few too many pints of Guinness, I start to wonder what the implications are for having serial and synchronous connections bound by artificial parameters. On the other hand, sometimes I probably drink too much.Greenfacenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-50665623784258625952012-01-23T20:00:00.399-07:002012-01-23T20:00:00.399-07:00I've never been one to believe "everythin...I've never been one to believe "everything happens for a reason," but I do think there is a reason for everything that happens. That's a much different statement than claiming knowledge of why, however...<br /><br />Silver ratio relationships wouldn't be worth the trouble of pointing out if I thought they were merely coincidental, but I can't prove otherwise either. It could also be that the Pell sequence is nothing more than a sloppy imitation of basic exponential growth.<br /><br />I continue to be struck by how much Elliott decoded within market movements, but how much "the time element" eluded him. We've seen incredible work by Prechter to pick up where Elliott left off with the Fibonacci sequence. Carolan's model is shockingly good too. There's Armstrong's Pi cycle & plenty of other research I'm sure I'm ignorant to.<br /><br />Silver ratio relationships seem to me to be one more drop in the bucket revealing how rational explanations of markets rely on irrational numbers. There's been such an explosion in quantitative analysis in recent decades drawing from all sorts of mundane and extravagant fields of mathematics. They ultimately seem like statistical analysis and back-testing to me--which isn't a bad thing, just an attempt to define their scope. (Maybe I'll come to regret that overly-reductive statement later)<br /><br />I like to think about analogies to the revolution in poker as basic probability analysis developed. It's a necessary model because the dealer and other players are hiding their cards from us. I wonder, in financial markets, if the cards are really hidden, or if we haven't yet figured out how to turn them over (or mark them), find the mirrors behind the other guys, or predict the precise order of shuffling. These are pie-in-the-sky sort of ideas, but you don't move by staying stuck in the same place.<br /><br />If I had to guess, I'd say we're not yet scratching the surface in applying number theory to financial markets. It seems that every time I open Concrete Mathematics, there's some new place where I wonder, why aren't we doing that? But then, I have a lot of wonder (aka confusion) about a lot of things...Zimnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-60271625180807027012012-01-22T21:16:57.187-07:002012-01-22T21:16:57.187-07:00Yay It's really satisfying when price and time...Yay It's really satisfying when price and time resonate.<br />Looks like it may be a gap down though so we'll see what happens after the open.<br /><br />Zim, I know money's money and philosophy doesn't pay the bills. But do you ever wonder if there is a reason for so much alignment with the silver ratio and its derivatives? A deeper meaning or reason?Greenfacenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-22396585554711509452012-01-22T16:04:48.744-07:002012-01-22T16:04:48.744-07:00On an hourly basis, measured from the 1202.37 low,...On an hourly basis, measured from the 1202.37 low, Thursday's SPX high was an <a href="http://www.rationalinsolvency.com/2012/01/spx1mo012212srp.png" rel="nofollow"><b>exact</b></a> <a href="http://www.rationalinsolvency.com/ESR201112.pdf" rel="nofollow">delta-sub-s</a> (1+SQRT(2)) projection of the duration of the move from 1158.67 to 1267.06.Zimnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-43858465971020870352012-01-20T05:17:24.490-07:002012-01-20T05:17:24.490-07:00We got a pullback in the European session, so now ...We got a pullback in the European session, so now it gets easier.<br />Either that really was a c wave and we drop to new lows, or its a 3rd wave and we're off to the races with the long awaited short squeeze.<br />I admittedly have my preference, but it's better to be profitable than to be right.Greenfacenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-71491721034648283062012-01-19T23:57:03.880-07:002012-01-19T23:57:03.880-07:00You guys remember this chart from a couple of days...You guys remember this chart from a couple of days ago, right? Well here's how it looks <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p93644352013&a=253771742:><b>now</b></a>. I'm becoming less and less convinced that the deflationary scenario is going to develop at all. If the S&P puts in a retracement something similar to what I've drawn here in blue, then I'm going to give up on the deflationary argument altogether. The implications for inflation are absolutely horrid but if that's what the global power brokers have decided to do, then apparently all of Europe can go bankrupt for all they care... they'll just print. Apparently a total bankruptcy by Greece is no big deal. Apparently downgrades of France and Spain is no big deal. Obviously the downgrade of the USA was just laughed off. I would have to conclude (if the market takes the blue path), that it's becoming clear that nothing matters. I mean, literally <i>nothing freaking matters</i>. I'm talking about $4,000 gold in very short order. Commodities will go right through the roof and we'll see the CRX chart reverse and head higher with a vengeance. Holders of equities will see their holding double in dollar value, but at the same time be totally decimated in real terms.<br /><br />Since 1999, oil has risen something like 787% as much as equities have to date. If the equities markets take the path I've drawn in blue, we're going to see that repeated. Equities could double over the next 5 years but gold and oil would rise 1000% in the same time period. People would literally starve all around the world by the tens of millions. That's what these bastards are preparing to do it looks like to me. But let's just wait and see how the next correction shapes up. I'm starting to actually believe that the blue path is the one that's more likely after all. P3 higher.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-60346240244877138442012-01-19T23:26:54.542-07:002012-01-19T23:26:54.542-07:00Geez... you mean I owe Vagner an apology? Uhhhh.....Geez... you mean I owe Vagner an apology? Uhhhh... ain't gonna happen, lol.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-75161866668493419212012-01-19T23:22:02.342-07:002012-01-19T23:22:02.342-07:00We drink a pint first ;-)We drink a pint first ;-)Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-17227210924563831692012-01-19T22:49:34.766-07:002012-01-19T22:49:34.766-07:00Now I see--thanks for setting me straight!Now I see--thanks for setting me straight!Zimnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-31384171994426902472012-01-19T21:04:42.765-07:002012-01-19T21:04:42.765-07:00
Great stuff Zim.
5 min Euro EDT
Not exactly per... <br />Great stuff Zim.<br /><br />5 min Euro EDT<br />Not exactly perfect, but not terrible for 5 min<br /><br />http://oi44.tinypic.com/2gtuve1.jpgGreenfacenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-39367890772718343512012-01-19T16:15:24.493-07:002012-01-19T16:15:24.493-07:00Yeah, it was my fault.Yeah, <a href="http://www.rationalinsolvency.com/ESR201112.pdf" rel="nofollow"><b>it</b></a> was my fault.Zimnoreply@blogger.com