tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post6232253603682314807..comments2024-02-29T04:24:14.076-07:00Comments on Albertarocks' TA Discussions: Complacency! What Complacency?Albertarockshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comBlogger59125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-45534860108789661812012-03-07T18:53:20.036-07:002012-03-07T18:53:20.036-07:00Holy smokes! I found it on StockCharts and never ...Holy smokes! I found it on StockCharts and never even knew it existed as an ETN. Then I queried StockCharts' catalog for "sugar" and came up with another one. Both were iPath instruments. So then I queried for "iPath" and 73 ETNs popped up. Coffee is "CAFE". How quaint is that? lol<br /><br />Thanks CR. I didn't even realize those things existed, let alone were available on StockCharts. I owe you a drink for that one. You were saying you're a wine man, right? Here you go. Welcome to my office. lolAlbertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-22910927354079252662012-03-07T18:00:01.724-07:002012-03-07T18:00:01.724-07:00 My first job after uni was in cocoa but it was wr... My first job after uni was in cocoa but it was wrong place wrong time.But it got me interested in markets.I just trade off the charts but I have started subscribing to Jeff Kennedy at EWI and I think he's a good analyst.He has the whole soft commodity complex in a strong bear phase at the moment so I think there are a lot of oppurtunities.There are etf's for most softs.I cant remember the coffee code but cocoa is NIB so you can chart them on Stockcharts.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-9207916500992481032012-03-07T11:35:13.311-07:002012-03-07T11:35:13.311-07:00That's great news. I like news like that. I&...That's great news. I like news like that. I've got a very small long position going, basically because I'm idiot. Well maybe not really an idiot (because the position is so small), but an idiot because I'm expecting much more down side. However, I'm basically out of the market for the moment, probably until near the end of the day. Depending on how the day finishes I may short again near the close. But if today's bounce forms a clear fiver, then I there's probably more upside tomorrow I'll wait it out (if I can control my patience issue).<br /><br />Good luck on those commodities plays. I wish StockCharts would supply charts for commodities but the only ones available are oil, heating oil and nat. gas.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-83727321634305672162012-03-07T07:09:37.379-07:002012-03-07T07:09:37.379-07:00Nice one AR - the sun shines on the righteous ! I ...Nice one AR - the sun shines on the righteous ! I had a great day yesterday - almost made up for the whole of Feb ! Am playing the short side on some commodities like coffee as well as the stockmarket. - less intervention !Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-78368347183597089132012-03-06T16:28:58.002-07:002012-03-06T16:28:58.002-07:00Thanks stinky. I'll read that right now. The...Thanks stinky. I'll read that right now. Then I want to look at a whole lot of market internals charts and after that I think I'll watch the movie "Margin Call". Seems like it might be a pretty appropriate movie to watch right about now. Moresso in the days ahead I'd imagine. In fact I'm getting downright excited to turn that movie on but I just can't seem to put my work down, lol.<br /><br />Thanks for the link partner. BTW, there's a guy who I see about once a week who is from England. I don't know him but every time we run into each other we have a darned nice chat. We've spoken about the Henley Regatta and the fact that my daughter has won it (as a member of the women's 8... she was in seat 5, also referred to as "the engine room", lol). In any case, I saw him yesterday and every time I see him I think of you. I'm not sure why though because this guy is actually very nice ;-)Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-88812311556342019132012-03-06T16:21:46.887-07:002012-03-06T16:21:46.887-07:00Yeah, Zim has posted some really great animations ...Yeah, Zim has posted some really great animations on this site. This might be the most impressive of all:<br />http://www.rationalinsolvency.com/2012/02/dax022712ida.gifAlbertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-13088796581662324942012-03-06T16:14:33.081-07:002012-03-06T16:14:33.081-07:00 He's just showing off ! Awesome effect,very ... He's just showing off ! Awesome effect,very nice !Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-74273045593808888262012-03-06T16:12:59.038-07:002012-03-06T16:12:59.038-07:00Hey AR I notice ZH posted a critique of MMT.Though...Hey AR I notice ZH posted a critique of MMT.Thought you mau be interested http://www.zerohedge.com/news/sean-corrigan-crucifies-mmtAll the best manAlbertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-75870560943663793572012-03-03T23:41:54.709-07:002012-03-03T23:41:54.709-07:00To be honest Greg, I haven't looked at a singl...To be honest Greg, I haven't looked at a single stock that's included in the XRT. It just makes no sense to me that the retail ETF should be 41% higher today than it was at the 2007 peak. But I'm pretty sure we'd find that the individual stocks have done the same thing. I think the ETFs are being juiced and the stocks are just following mindlessly... almost like some sort of convoluted arbitrage or something, lol. <br /><br />Sorry bud, but I'm too tired at the moment to figure out quite what you're referring to with the TVIX. Suffice it to say that the $VIX should rise during a market pullback but won't really get cranked up for quite some time to come. The VIX actually peaks near the bottom of the crash. In any case, those holding TVIX will profit handsomely I assume. Mind you, I've heard there are some really wacky relationships seen from time to time between VIX and TVIX. To be honest I'm not even fully aware about what those issues were.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-85784470578465377052012-03-03T19:45:28.445-07:002012-03-03T19:45:28.445-07:00Thanks AR ... your ratio work always gets me think...Thanks AR ... your ratio work always gets me thinking ... and soon I'll start thinking of ratios to look into.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-70303088550410702982012-03-03T19:41:32.645-07:002012-03-03T19:41:32.645-07:00Hey, I've been meaning to ask you what some of...Hey, I've been meaning to ask you what some of the stocks in XRT have done since 2007?<br />I suspect they aren't over their 2007 peak?<br />If not, then something else is skewing XRT ... like maybe an ETF problem of more shares shorted than exist, and it was a short squeeze? Just curious what you thought about that. In addition to the FED money effect. I almost wonder if TVIX has the same issue which might benefit the longs now if the market crashes ... more buying orders than shares outstanding? Hahahaha.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-32283053695510070632012-03-03T19:37:11.383-07:002012-03-03T19:37:11.383-07:00I think that volume is a very good clue. TVIX and...I think that volume is a very good clue. TVIX and VIX look like they had a very big 1-2, and not a i-ii.<br />And the volume on i was very impressive, and the volume on the pullback ii is very light.<br />A perfect set up for those who have been positioning themselves for 30+ days.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-13521720428693275242012-02-24T15:42:36.172-07:002012-02-24T15:42:36.172-07:00Indeed, it was the utter contempt that Ford so bri...Indeed, it was the utter contempt that Ford so brilliantly portrayed that was as funny as anything else. You could see the point at which he had finished weighing the odds and made the " easy decision".Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-37111523860595373792012-02-24T15:30:13.526-07:002012-02-24T15:30:13.526-07:00Funny how traffic works...one person sends one lin...Funny how traffic works...one person sends one link to just the right grandma and...bam...hits multiplying like Fibonacci bunnies...<br /><br />Your technique of using Stockcharts' semi-transparent fill boxes to highlight positive versus negative correlation greatly simplifies the visuals. Not that anything else is undeserving of attention, but to me, it stands to reason that the USD study is drawing views. Good stuff!Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-57653655343453134322012-02-24T14:54:33.957-07:002012-02-24T14:54:33.957-07:00They pop up from time to time, work and don't ...They pop up from time to time, work and don't work, tease and annoy. I'll try to remember to throw 'em up here if any others cross my mind.<br /><br />I mentioned <a href="http://www.marketanthropology.com" rel="nofollow"><b>this guy</b></a> here a few weeks ago, & I'm actually <i>not</i> part of his marketing team (despite what you might surmise from the repeated reference), but he publishes some of the best analog overlays out there.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-11704498292364150582012-02-24T14:47:44.649-07:002012-02-24T14:47:44.649-07:00The idea of the scene is ingenious, but Ford's...The idea of the scene is ingenious, but Ford's execution (pun intended) only makes it all the more classic...<br /><br />It's always nice when people ask, but it's pretty safe to say permission is implicit when posting things directly on other sites. I've got my share of delusions of control, but haven't yet fancied myself director of the ether. :)<br /><br />Just flattering when someone takes notice, really. Thanks!Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-51921654920913220532012-02-24T13:04:15.586-07:002012-02-24T13:04:15.586-07:00Sorry Scotty, as far as I know there is no way to ...Sorry Scotty, as far as I know there is no way to overlay two charts with two different starting dates like Zimmer has done. He told me how he did it but it wasn't with StockCharts. I think he said he uses image manipulation software like PhotoShop or something like that. Whatever it is, he does a real nice job of it. As for the animation he created... I have no idea. But I asked him if he could slow down the animation and he did that too. I wonder how much work that takes because the effect is something we've never seen before. Beautiful in a way.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-7787357331627564252012-02-24T12:55:36.104-07:002012-02-24T12:55:36.104-07:00Lol... without a word of a lie, that was my favori...Lol... without a word of a lie, that was my favorite movie scene of all time. When I first saw it, it was like something I'd always want to see but never had until that point. Brilliant! <br /><br />Also, thanks for giving permission to jbg1911. I'd stuck my neck out a little bit on Pretzel's blog and suggested that knowing you to a certain extent like I do, I felt that you wouldn't mind if Pretzel himself or jbg1011 came over here and grabbed it.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-68563751301318749062012-02-24T12:48:08.067-07:002012-02-24T12:48:08.067-07:00Affirmative, message sent.Affirmative, message sent.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-69359750572723711102012-02-24T12:23:46.061-07:002012-02-24T12:23:46.061-07:00Thanks... the visits actually tripled on Wednesday...Thanks... the visits actually tripled on Wednesday and quadrupled on Thursday. And they were mostly looking at the one piece on the USD relationship with equities being likely to become permanently <a href="http://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/2012/01/blog-post.html" rel="nofollow"><b>inverse going forward</b></a>. I have no idea why that one suddenly became so popular especially considering that it was published 6 weeks ago.<br /><br />Thanks for your array of fib fan charts too. They're great to look at as well as very helpful in putting things into a bit better perspective.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-4735134491515633852012-02-24T08:08:31.898-07:002012-02-24T08:08:31.898-07:00 Thanks Zim...any other matching overlays that pop... Thanks Zim...any other matching overlays that pop out?Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-37571197875697850852012-02-24T07:58:28.535-07:002012-02-24T07:58:28.535-07:00I share your frustration. The only way I could act...I share your frustration. The only way I could actually go long now is if I smoked a lot of weed and had a years supply of Doritos...no frigging way. I know I'm repeating myself but I the CBs are are gonna kill this patient with all this liquidity....and I really think they want to once they max it out...The housing bubble and burst was caused by the exact same behavior thanks to Mr. Geithner...they will turn off the spigot once everyone is in the game and bring it crashing down intentionally. They did it back in '29 also, and they're going to do it again. That's what gets my goat. <br /><br />I think Zimmer may have broken the code with that chart I noted. I don't have the ability to do the overlays that he does so I'm kinda stuck. Remember how you mentioned how you were wondering how they were beating the system by scuttling TA. Without coming to any conclusions, is it possible to identify more composite/overlay charts like the one Zimmer graciously posted? If it is repeatable with other dates it would be a helluva way to telegraph an intended trading pattern by merely specifying a previous date...and it would go unnoticed....or maybe I just need more sleep....probably the latter. Cheers :)Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-11912139233761004642012-02-24T06:30:50.397-07:002012-02-24T06:30:50.397-07:00AR is there any way I can reach you by email? You ...AR is there any way I can reach you by email? You can answer me at mine:<br /><br />sansangst at yahoo dot com.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-39191286120780702422012-02-24T05:24:44.227-07:002012-02-24T05:24:44.227-07:00Congrats!
More Fib fan propaganda here:
http://ra...Congrats!<br /><br />More Fib fan propaganda here:<br />http://rationalinsolvency.blogspot.com/2012/02/fourth-february-friday-fib-fan-fun.html Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-89034179513917176662012-02-23T23:02:42.898-07:002012-02-23T23:02:42.898-07:00Any time bro. Yeah for sure, the DOW priced in go...Any time bro. Yeah for sure, the DOW priced in gold is one absolutely terrific example of how a ratio can reveal the truth. You know what I'm talkin' about. Well I just do the same thing but with different pairs. What is revealed is just as truthful as the truth we find out when we do that Equities/Gold ratio. Like equities priced in oil or the DAX as priced in units of the European financial sector, etc. It's a great concept. One smart ass, in trying to one-up me (Jesus I hate that) said ratio work was useless because "you can't trade a ratio." I guess he never heard of currency trades.Albertarockshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.com