tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post4492846063421997928..comments2024-02-29T04:24:14.076-07:00Comments on Albertarocks' TA Discussions: The BDI - Big Drop IndeedAlbertarockshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01012817858746684681noreply@blogger.comBlogger25125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-82088169829108413892013-05-26T18:37:13.559-06:002013-05-26T18:37:13.559-06:00I was recοmmended this ωeb site by my cousin.
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http://markethighsandlows....Waiting on the numbers<br /><br />http://markethighsandlows.wordpress.com/ Scotty at MarketHighsandLowshttp://markethighsandlows.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-2935492322507901772012-02-02T14:16:34.415-07:002012-02-02T14:16:34.415-07:00Thanks AR glad you enjoyed it !
It seems like a ...Thanks AR glad you enjoyed it !<br /><br /><br />It seems like a perpetual money machine. But the CB's and Banks are they only ones in the loop.<br />Banks are not creating money the way they usually do ( lending money to individuals and corporations)<br />May be Europe falls into a deep recession. Who knows it could be Japan that hits the windshield first.<br /><br />It just seems so much like 2002-07 that i think 12-18 months is all i would give this current bubble.iriquoisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-15451694517859924712012-02-02T09:27:22.547-07:002012-02-02T09:27:22.547-07:00Central Banks are the next housing bubble. Just a ...Central Banks are the next housing bubble. Just a matter of time. Nothing new here, just presented very well.<br />http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/01/living-in-a-qe-world/iriquoisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-6965237930891973932012-02-02T08:03:10.024-07:002012-02-02T08:03:10.024-07:00That chart reflects where I've expected the ma...That chart reflects where I've expected the market to head for the last six months. I reckon I'm ahead of the curve again. ;)wbonesteelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-34169086336709940192012-02-01T22:21:59.515-07:002012-02-01T22:21:59.515-07:00Hi Allan. How's my friend from the land of Au...Hi Allan. How's my friend from the land of Aus?<br /><br />Yeah, Pebble's an awesome dude. He and I chat whenever we can find the time.<br /><br />I agree bud... but it's just so god damned infuriating what those asshole banksters are doing. And man... you have no idea how much I like that chart you posted. Holy shyte... that's what I'm talking about. I wanna believe. I wanna believe.<br /><br />You're not alone in your distaste for Disqus. Every blog owner I know (including myself) share your disQust. But there are a few tools that it affords us which our friend Danno just refuses to use. Some of those tools can reduce the problems quite a bit. For example, your name has been "whitelisted" on this site, which means that any comment you submit, whether it contains links or not, "should" be ignored by the Disqus spam filters and give you a green light. That way, at least in theory, you should never have a comment vanish on you. Not from this site at least. That's the theory anyway. <br /><br />For example, over at Pretzel's site, Pretzel has "whitelisted" me so I have great success in having longer comments (with as many as 4 links) pop right up with no problem. On Danno's site, they'd vanish. That's because the Disqus spam filters take it upon themselves to decide what they think is spam or not. And thanks to the actions of the asshole trolls at Danno's site, Disqus now watches me much too closely, thinking I'm a spammer because some of my comments were needlessly and maliciously "flagged for review". God damn their oily hides. But if Danno would only go to his spam box and mark those innocent comments as "not spam" and then "whitelist" me, like Pretzel has done, that problem <i>'should'</i> be solved. No guarantees, but that's the plan. <br /><br />By the way, I'll give you one guess why there hasn't been a single troll comment published here. Wagner tried it twice and he got shot in the face both times. He's gone for life. And when the day comes that he shows up with a new identity, it's gonna have to be from his boyfriend's address, because he's not gonna be able to post here from his home in Walnut Creek, California. Yup, I know where that prick lives now, because he's stupid. Same thing would happen with about 8 of the children who have gone to such great lengths to ruin the other site. There is no reason they have to be allowed to make peoples' lives miserable over there. But what can I say... I'm not the owner of that blog.<br /><br />So hang in there with the Disqus if you can. I don't think you'll have as many troubles with it here as you might have experienced elsewhere. Fingers crossed.<br /><br />Nice to see you as always.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-6439009805268838512012-02-01T21:33:36.061-07:002012-02-01T21:33:36.061-07:00AR saw your entry over at PW.
Think we saw alot o...AR saw your entry over at PW.<br /><br />Think we saw alot of distribution on the DOW and SPX today and if it wasn't for FB I think the Naz would have gone the same way. Gold volume is declining drmatically with price and bonds as you mentioned are singing a different tune than the markets.<br /><br />Here's a little intersting look at the DOW<br /><br />Cheers matey<br />http://www.markettrak.com/special4_100.html<br /><br />PS Not a fan of this DISCUSAllanqnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-84053049892594105942012-02-01T21:26:33.366-07:002012-02-01T21:26:33.366-07:00AR saw your entry over at PW.
Think we saw alot o...AR saw your entry over at PW.<br /><br />Think we saw alot of distribution on the DOW and SPX today and if it wasn't for FB I think the Naz would have gone the same way. Gold volume is declining dramatically with price and bonds as you mentioned are singing to a different tune than the markets.<br /><br />Here's a little intersting look at the DOW<br /><br />Cheers matey<br />http://www.markettrak.com/special4_100.htmlAllanqnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-66620733226647388792012-02-01T21:24:28.695-07:002012-02-01T21:24:28.695-07:00AR saw your entry over at PW.
Think we saw alot o...AR saw your entry over at PW.<br /><br />Think we saw alot of distribution on the DOW and SPX today and if it wasn't for FB I think the Naz would have gone the same way. Gold volume is declining drmatically with price and bonds as you mentioned are singing a different tune than the markets.<br /><br />Here's a little intersting look at the DOW<br /><br />Cheers matey<br />http://www.markettrak.com/special4_100.htmlAllanqnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-83229340267068749632012-02-01T08:37:56.079-07:002012-02-01T08:37:56.079-07:00You're welcome Zim. It's actually from an...You're welcome Zim. It's actually from an article I wrote on that topic quite a while back. I think I first wrote it on Mike's site about 9 months ago. That was the chart that Dino scoffed at as being useless, lol. On the contrary, it offers one of the best "tell"s we could ever ask for. I've been planning on doing a re-write but just haven't gotten around to it. <br /><br />One would think that the exact same benefit would come from a similar ratio of the IBM:INDU because the weighting of IBM is darned near as heavy in the DOW as AAPL is in the NAS. But it just doesn't work the same at all. I haven't investigated why yet but I did do one comparison between AAPL and IBM on a <i>performance</i> style chart and discovered that the performance of AAPL is consistently about double that of IBM. IBM just doesn't swing the DOW around like a rag doll like AAPL does with the NAS. Then next thing I'd have to look at is total market cap of both companies and I'll bet that's where the key is. VOLUME! When I get time, lol.<br /><br />Thanks for checking in bud. It's always nice to see you.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-45217128298528402202012-02-01T04:23:15.713-07:002012-02-01T04:23:15.713-07:00Thanks for the AAPL:$NDX chart you posted in respo...Thanks for the AAPL:$NDX chart you posted in response to pebble over at DE's. It's a beaut!Zimnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-73634861360134090992012-02-01T02:07:31.810-07:002012-02-01T02:07:31.810-07:00I sure do. I remember when a move of a half a per...I sure do. I remember when a move of a half a percent in the S&P or DOW was considered a monster day. Overnight gaps? Unheard of. These days they're the favorite toy of the thieves. Mind you, I started reading about and studying the stock markets with a great deal of interest when I was 11 years old. The Dow hadn't yet hit 1000 in its history..Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-89872888838618301512012-02-01T00:50:41.953-07:002012-02-01T00:50:41.953-07:00Plus, this: EUR/USD 1.3037 -0.0103 (-0.78%)
Remem...Plus, this: EUR/USD 1.3037 -0.0103 (-0.78%)<br /><br />Remember the days when one tenth of a point was a huge move?wbonesteelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-75710773172334290522012-01-31T15:54:31.185-07:002012-01-31T15:54:31.185-07:00According to AH action. this is what the 60 min. c...According to AH action. this is what the 60 min. chart of Amazon is going to look like tomorrow morning:<br />http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AMZN&p=60&b=2&g=0&id=p00319286626&a=255772847&r=9457&cmd=printAlbertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-47862394459149218952012-01-30T23:09:03.118-07:002012-01-30T23:09:03.118-07:00Thanks for the kind words KB03. Just judging by t...Thanks for the kind words KB03. Just judging by the momentum behind the January drop, I don't think there's a chance in hell the $BDI is going to find a bounce at that previous low of 663. I mean it just spent 10 months consolidating and <i>building a base</i>... and then the bottom falls out again, lol. True, it's very oversold and after a loss of 53% in one month I suppose a bounce is in order sooner or later. But I'd be really surprised if it bounced up even as high as the blue baseline. Good lord... if that thing lost another 50% in February (which it has shown it has the ability to do with flying colours) then it would be at 350. How much farther can shipping rates fall before some of them finally have to cry "Uncle"?<br /><br />And yeah... some of the biggest shippers in the world are Greek. Funny you should mention the troubled Euro banks have so much exposure to shippers. I'm not sure if you saw the article entitles <a href="http://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/2012/01/dax-and-entire-european-financial-index.html" rel="nofollow"><b>"Dax And The Entire European Financial Index"</b></a> but in that one I demonstrated how the DAX was going parabolic when priced in units of the DJ European Financial Index. In fact it showed that the DAX was pretending to go to the moon while the entire European financial sector was crashing all around it. Obviously that can't go on much further. Either the DAX has to crash back to reality or by some miracle the European banks are all going to recover their share value in a big way. How in hell would that be possible? And needless to say, that ratio is still going more and more <a href="http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$DAX:$E1FIN&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p53890903433&a=252417584" rel="nofollow"><b>parabolicer</b></a> every day. Something's gotta give and I say it's the DAX.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-11629011683082378342012-01-30T21:08:25.338-07:002012-01-30T21:08:25.338-07:00Looks like we might get that test of 663 right qui...Looks like we might get that test of 663 right quick like as it currently sits a mere 39 points away @ 702. If the index maintains sub 1500 levels this could spell real troubles for the large debt shippers, many of whom have consistently requested loan/value waivers. And who holds a lot of that debt - you guessed it, Euro banks and therein lies the rub. Not to mention, how on earth will the Greeks recover with an anemic shipping industry?<br /><br />Another great article thanks for posting, your efforts shine thru and are much appreciated :)KB03noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-91570929125297221612012-01-29T22:42:17.466-07:002012-01-29T22:42:17.466-07:00"All I can say is that if was a bank that had..."All I can say is that if was a bank that had loaned money for a cargo ship, I'd be one VERY worried banker."<br /><br />That kind of sums it up doesn't it. So would I, and I'll bet some of the shipping giants don't make. I find all this so ironic, since some of the greatest fortunes 4 decades ago were the Greek shipping magnates. I remember when Aristotle Onassis and Stavros Niarkos were two of the richest men in the world. The same Onassis who married Jackie Kennedy after she'd lost JFK.Albertarockshttp://albertarocks-ta-discussions.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-48718514100892918552012-01-29T18:49:38.524-07:002012-01-29T18:49:38.524-07:00From the research I've done on cargo and conta...From the research I've done on cargo and container ships, not only were thousands of new 'excess' ships 'stored,' but thousands of cargo ships already in the water were being stored. <br /><br /> Keep in mind that retailers, manufacturers and shippers have to 'guess' several months ahead of time about what products and raw materials they're going to ship and receive. As you've pointed out, there are a lot of factors to leep in mind, but as a whole, the BDI can give us a clue about what's really coming down the road at us wrt the markets.wbonesteelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-91992160841013052042012-01-29T18:47:28.096-07:002012-01-29T18:47:28.096-07:00AR once again great article. As stated in my origi...AR once again great article. As stated in my original post on the BDI my concern is, the magnitude of the decline. I failed to mention at the time that the real concern, given the huge decline in freight rates, is that it must be having a calamitous impact upon the financial integrity of many the worlds shipping lines.<br />That in itself is something that may very well set-off a tidal wave with huge implications throughout Europe. I have seen estimates that loans exceed $500b and could be as high as $750 to shipping conglomerates many of whom eminate from eastern Europe.<br /><br />All I can say is that if was a bank that had loaned money for a cargo ship, I'd be one VERY worried banker.<br /><br />CheersAllanqnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-75525731615174644302012-01-29T17:37:18.498-07:002012-01-29T17:37:18.498-07:00I do believe Dictionarydotcom is correct. And...I ...I do believe Dictionarydotcom is correct. And...I always use the Cramer/GS agreement correlation as a contrarian indicator...Someone should do a study.jbg1911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3285685659201746004.post-15539994571122595032012-01-29T14:59:35.625-07:002012-01-29T14:59:35.625-07:00<=====Nice choice of avatar LOL. It looks like ...<=====Nice choice of avatar LOL. It looks like the artificial reef/Ital-Captained cruise ship/troop carrier business should be booming if the BDI tanks any further. I call steerage! What was the purpose of the promulgation of so many excess vessels in the first place? Didn't the industry just shoot itself in the loins by creating such excess ability?jbg1911noreply@blogger.com